M4.1: toolchain preflight

A model works out and sets up what a project needs on its build VM;
code makes sure that happens, bounds it and checks the result (D3).

- Before each driver run on a project, one round trip checks the build
  VM: the harness's own baseline (missing: the item waits, a template
  problem), the workspace clone (missing: cloned again and said; the
  item resumes from what it pushed) and a per-project marker.
- No marker (a new project, a new or wiped VM): the item's driver model
  runs a bounded preflight first, with its own prompt, the execution
  tools (screened as ever) and toolchain_ready. The harness runs each
  reported version command itself (version-shaped commands only, even
  from the marker, which the model's commands could edit) and writes
  the marker. Gaps and an unfinished preflight are facts and work goes
  on; the thread hears only of installs and gaps. A rebuilt VM starts
  from the last toolchain.
- Later runs check the versions again; a change is a fact and a thread
  line. The PR body says what the work was tested with.
- A changed host key is its own failure (HostKeyChanged): the item
  waits for the operator's `trust new host key`, which drops the pin;
  then the VM is set up again.
- A prompt line: install what the work needs on the build VM, say why,
  and put lasting needs in the project's own pins.
- tuning.preflight: max_turns, command_timeout_s.
- The property walk gains a VM wipe and ready_before_work (checked
  against a mutant that skips preflight); parked_work_safe accepts that
  a wipe loses what wasn't pushed (D3).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PPQ14L3LikyefCMFBqEbKE

nisse-dev.example.yaml

@@ -89,6 +89,9 @@ tuning:
   driver:
     max_turns: 40            # model calls per driver run before it stops as capped
     failure_limit: 2         # consecutive failed commands before escalating (L9)
+  preflight:                 # getting a project's toolchain ready (D3)
+    max_turns: 20            # model calls the preflight run may make
+    command_timeout_s: 900   # one command in it: installs take a while
   expert:
     consult_budget: 3        # ask_expert calls per milestone (L9)
   delegation:                # hard caps on one delegation (L9)