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nisse/nisse-dev/src/nisse_dev/bench/results.py
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dongarandClaude Opus 5.5 50b46821d7
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Add an executor benchmark that keeps its results
Choosing a local executor model, and tuning its knobs, needs measured
success rates across repeated runs, comparable with every model
measured before.

- Four canned milestones under nisse_dev/bench/tasks: write a function,
  fix a bug a failing test exposes, thread an option through several
  files, and find one failure in output far past max_output_chars. Each
  is an approved plan over a seed project, judged by a hidden check the
  model never sees; a reference solution proves each is solvable and
  that its check tells the difference
- Runs use the agent's own client wiring, now shared as
  make_llm_clients, with delegation and ask_expert off: an escalation is
  a failure of the model under test
- Each run is stored as one JSON line in bench/results/, committed, with
  the model's backing name and declared facts, a note on how it was
  served, the task's content hash, the agent's commit and tuning, the
  outcome, turns, misbehaviour counts, context trims, tokens, time and
  LiteLLM's cost; a fallback answer can never count as a success
- The report rebuilds the comparison from every stored run, with Wilson
  95% intervals, marking runs against older task versions
- scripts/benchmark.py runs and reports; scripts/evaluate_model.sh takes
  a new model through the context probe, the capability matrix and the
  benchmark in one command
- Clients keep LiteLLM's per-call cost, and BudgetedClient counts the
  requests it had to trim
- The tuning guide gains "Benchmarking models"

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-25 00:35:24 +00:00

118 lines
3.9 KiB
Python

"""Stored benchmark results, and the report that compares them.
Every run is one JSON line. The report is rebuilt from all of them each
time, so a model benchmarked today is read alongside every model measured
before it, as long as the task is still the same version.
"""
import json
import math
import statistics
from collections import defaultdict
from collections.abc import Iterable
from dataclasses import dataclass
from datetime import UTC, datetime
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any
from nisse_dev.bench.runner import RunRecord
def results_file(directory: Path, model: str, when: datetime | None = None) -> Path:
day = (when or datetime.now(UTC)).strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
return directory / f"{day}-{model}.jsonl"
def append(path: Path, record: RunRecord) -> None:
path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
with path.open("a") as out:
out.write(json.dumps(record.to_json(), sort_keys=True) + "\n")
def load(directory: Path) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
records = []
for path in sorted(directory.glob("*.jsonl")):
for line in path.read_text().splitlines():
if line.strip():
records.append(json.loads(line))
return records
def wilson(successes: int, runs: int, z: float = 1.96) -> tuple[float, float]:
"""A 95% confidence interval for a success rate, sound at small counts.
Three successes in five runs and five in five overlap here, which is the
point: small samples of a noisy model do not separate much."""
if runs == 0:
return 0.0, 1.0
p = successes / runs
denominator = 1 + z * z / runs
centre = (p + z * z / (2 * runs)) / denominator
half = z * math.sqrt(p * (1 - p) / runs + z * z / (4 * runs * runs)) / denominator
return max(0.0, centre - half), min(1.0, centre + half)
@dataclass
class Row:
model: str
note: str
task: str
runs: int
successes: int
median_turns: float
mean_wall_s: float
cost_per_run: float
stale: bool
@property
def interval(self) -> tuple[float, float]:
return wilson(self.successes, self.runs)
def summarise(
records: Iterable[dict[str, Any]], current_hashes: dict[str, str]
) -> list[Row]:
"""One row per (model, how it was served, task, task version)."""
groups: dict[tuple[str, str, str, str], list[dict[str, Any]]] = defaultdict(list)
for r in records:
groups[(r["backing"], r.get("note", ""), r["task"], r["task_hash"])].append(r)
rows = []
for (backing, note, task, task_hash), runs in sorted(groups.items()):
rows.append(
Row(
model=backing,
note=note,
task=task,
runs=len(runs),
successes=sum(1 for r in runs if r["success"]),
median_turns=statistics.median(r["turns"] for r in runs),
mean_wall_s=statistics.fmean(r["wall_s"] for r in runs),
cost_per_run=statistics.fmean(r["cost"] for r in runs),
stale=current_hashes.get(task) != task_hash,
)
)
return rows
def render(rows: list[Row]) -> str:
header = (
f"{'model':<34} {'note':<22} {'task':<15} {'success':>8} {'95% CI':>11} "
f"{'turns':>6} {'time':>7} {'$/run':>8}"
)
lines = [header, "-" * len(header)]
for row in rows:
low, high = row.interval
task = row.task + (" (old)" if row.stale else "")
lines.append(
f"{row.model[:34]:<34} {row.note[:22]:<22} {task[:15]:<15} "
f"{row.successes:>3}/{row.runs:<4} {low:>4.0%}-{high:<5.0%} "
f"{row.median_turns:>6.0f} {row.mean_wall_s:>6.0f}s {row.cost_per_run:>8.4f}"
)
if any(row.stale for row in rows):
lines.append("")
lines.append(
"(old) = measured against an earlier version of the task; "
"not comparable with current runs."
)
return "\n".join(lines)